Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Chinese Stocks Crash, But It Isn’t the Bad Trade Data

By Valentin Schmid, Epoch Times | May 10, 2016

Last Updated: May 10, 2016 11:05 am

An investor watches stock prices on screens at a securities company in Beijing on March 22, 2016. (Fred Dufour/AFP/Getty Images)

Compared to the first few trading days of the year, when the Shanghai Composite lost more than 5 percent per day, the three percent loss from May 9 is moderate.

Nonetheless, the Chinese S&P 500 is only 6 percent off its January low of 2655. And this is after the record stimulus from the first quarter which stabilized growth and stocks a bit.

Some may suspect recent trade data was responsible for the rout, as both imports and exports declined and missed expectations. Exports fell 1.8 percent in April compared to April of 2015 and imports crashed 10.9 percent.
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However, Capital Economics thinks the data is ok compared to the first quarter and after smoothing out Chinese New Year distortions happens at a different date every year. “In reality, the latest figures are not that bad relative to China’s recent trade performance,” the analysts comment.

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