Saturday, December 19, 2020

Lady de Rothschild’s road to the Vatican



By Oliver Balch on Dec 15, 2020


Oliver Balch interviews the financier leading the Coalition for Inclusive Capitalism, which has partnered with the Vatican in its drive to reform markets and companies to meet the unprecedented social and environmental challenges ahead

“Listen to the cry of the Earth and the cry of the poor.” Five years on from Pope Francis’s call for mankind to take heed of the climate crisis and care for our “common home”, his message has landed in the highest echelons of global capitalism.

Last week, a group of 27 titans of global business representing the Council for Inclusive Capitalism inked a partnership with the Vatican and pledged to help build a fairer and “more trustworthy” economic system, a year after travelling to meet the Pope in Rome last November (see main photo).

In a virtual address to these self-styled “guardians of inclusive capitalism” – among them COP26 special envoy for finance Mark Carney, and the CEOs of Salesforce, Johnson & Johnson, Mastercard, BP, Visa, State Street, Bank of America, as well as State of California treasurer Fiona Ma and OECD secretary-general Angel Gurría – Pope Francis urged them to make capitalism an “instrument for integral human wellbeing”.

Basically, I was a money-is-good, neo-liberal person who believed in the sanctity and sanity of free markets

Three years in the making, this epochal virtual event was the work of an individual who, until a decade ago, described herself as an ardent free-market capitalist.

After all, as systems go, it worked well for Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild. A successful corporate lawyer turned even more successful entrepreneur, American-born de Rothschild (the honorific derives from her husband, the British financier Sir Evelyn Robert de Rothschild) rose to prominence during the early telecoms boom of the 1980s and 1990s. Successful exits from various startup ventures made her a millionaire many times over.

“Basically, I was a money-is-good, neo-liberal person who believed in the sanctity and sanity of free markets. A rising tide lifts all boats, and all that,” she says.

Today, this same disciple of the Wall St school of unfettered capitalism is to be found standing shoulder to shoulder with the Pope, leading her corporate colleagues up the aisle of inclusive capitalism. So, what happened?



For an answer, it’s necessary to wind back the clock to the financial crisis of 2007/2008. Appalled by the sub-prime mortgage fiasco and its implications for the 99% who operated outside the corridors of corporate powers, she found her convictions unexpectedly challenged.

Capitalism might cause some boats to rise, the crisis revealed, but not all by any means. Could it be fair that monster tankers plied the high seas, while dinghies languished in the shallows? So, when the Occupy movement appeared a short while later, railing against the “1%”, she listened.

For a Rothschild, a name intrinsically linked to international banking, that’s no small step. At the time, she was chief executive of EL Rothschild, a private investment house set up by her and her husband (‘E’ for Evelyn; ‘L’ for Lynn). The firm’s portfolio includes The Economist Newspaper Ltd, among other prize assets.

“My two sons were leaving university at the time and I just became shocked by the prospects facing them and other young people their age compared to the prospects I had when leaving law school back in the early 1980s,” she said.

Benchmarking and the whole idea of a ‘race to the top’ are really important, but I think they are hindered until there are standardised

At global consulting firm McKinsey, the then chief-executive, Dominic Barton, shared her concerns. The pair convened a taskforce of leading thinkers from business, policymaking, and academia with a two-fold objective: to determine where capitalism had gone wrong, and to ask how businesses might help put it right.

The taskforce’s final report in 2012, Towards a More Inclusive Form of Capitalism, defines the term as a system in which “everyone ‒ all stakeholders, not just shareholders ‒ derive benefits from business” ‒ in line with contemporary interpretations of stakeholder capitalism.

She went on to set up the Coalition for Inclusive Capitalism, an interdisciplinary network of leaders that endeavours to advance the case for “broad and sustainable prosperity”. Out of this came the Embankment Project, which, with considerable input from professional services firm EY, put forward a list of proposed criteria in late 2018 for measuring the value of human capital. The list includes metrics such as voluntary turnover, diversity at all levels of a company, and participation in wellbeing programmes.



Qhen the Occupy movemement railed against the '1%', de Rothschild listened. (Credit: Glynnis Jones/Shutterstock)


Sustainability-minded investors are frustrated by the absence of comparable data on non-financial issues, she states. Her hope is that the Embankment Project’s proposals, which have the endorsement of the influential Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB), may go some way to providing investors with what they want.

“Benchmarking and the whole idea of a ‘race to the top’ are really important, but I think they are hindered until there are standardised, comparable ways for companies to report on non-financial issues,” she says.

At one point, the Coalition for Inclusive Capitalism taskforce counted President Obama’s chief economic adviser Larry Summers and former Hewlett Packard chief executive Carly Fiorina. The participation of two such prominent political figureheads – one Democrat, the other Republican – speaks to Lady de Rothschild’s fierce belief in bipartisanship.

But Lady de Rothschild isn’t interested in convening big names for the sake of it, not even the Pope. Like the Pontiff, achieving tangible, hard-hitting outcomes from multi-party coalitions takes a delicate balance of push and pull, she says, plus plenty of listening.

My idea of success is that no one is 100% happy. I want some people to feel we went too far and others to feel we haven't gone far enough

“With the Coalition for Inclusive Capitalism, it's not about what I think should happen. It's about setting a goal and working with people who are willing to make that goal stretch as far as we can. So, my idea of success is that no one is 100% happy. I want some people to feel we went too far and others to feel we haven't gone far enough.”

She is taking that same approach to another of the coalition’s new projects, which focuses on the design of rules and guidelines for the booming ESG (environmental, social and governance) investment market among asset managers.

The project remains in its early stages, but Lady de Rothschild isn’t shy about voicing her feelings about the market’s failure to deliver a substantive response to the world’s most pressing social or environmental problems.

Her strongest criticisms are directed at exchange traded funds [ETFs], which see investors passively follow a pre-determined index of supposedly “sustainable” stocks. Speaking at a recent Reuters Events Sustainable Business webinar, she argued that most ESG-oriented index-linked funds have “90% the same stocks as are in regular ETFs”.


Lynn Forester de Rothschild.


Instead of generating meaningful impact by directing capital to sustainability innovators in high-carbon sectors, she added, ESG investors typically opt for “safe” stocks such as big tech firms, which generate high returns but make little material difference on carbon emissions or on other critical sustainability issues.

“They [ESG funds] have done well because when you've invested in Apple and Amazon and Microsoft, then your ETF has done well. [But] have these companies really moved the needle towards a fairer society or a cleaner environment? The answer is probably ‘no’.”

The alternative, she suggests, is to take a more active stance. So, not just going through a checklist with a sustainability officer and “checking the box”, but actually “digging into companies and influencing their behaviour”.

Her new investment fund, Inclusive Capital Partners, which she joined in the summer with veteran activist investor Jeffrey Ubben and two other partners, will aim to take majority positions in publicly listed firms that are proactively (and profitably) seeking to provide answers to the big sustainability challenges of the day. The fund has so far attracted $1.4bn.

There are many efforts to make capitalism inclusive and sustainable, but what we have been missing is a moral base – the poetry to the prose of our action

The number of global corporations genuinely transitioning to a more inclusive model of business are still few and far between, de Rothschild concedes, but the roster of companies involved in the Vatican partnership shows that what would have been a hypothetical argument even five years ago is now a genuine, here-and-now possibility.

The partnership also opens up a conversation about global capitalism’s moral underpinnings. In an age of Covid-19 and climate crisis, even arch-market capitalists can no longer ignore the very real ramifications of treating markets as answerable only to cold numbers and hard logic.

“There are many efforts to make capitalism inclusive and sustainable, but what we have been missing is a moral base for the movement – the poetry to the prose of our action,” she reflects.

“The guidance of Pope Francis provides that poetry to the movement, but humanity's need to be responsible to each other is inspired by the social teachings of all faiths.”

Almost 10 years on from de Rothschild’s Damascene moment, the world is facing an even more frightening economic crisis. The idea of inclusive capitalism has never been more prescient. After a decade taking root, now is its time to take leaf and bloom.

Main picture credit: The Council for Inclusive Capitalism




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Friday, December 18, 2020

Congress averts shutdown; fight continues over pandemic aid




By The Associated Press
11 minutes ago



WASHINGTON (AP) — Congress passed a two-day stopgap spending bill Friday night, averting a partial government shutdown and buying yet more time for frustratingly slow endgame negotiations on an almost $1 trillion COVID-19 economic relief package.

The virus aid talks remained on track, both sides said, but closing out final disagreements was proving difficult. Weekend sessions were on tap, and House leaders hoped for a vote on Sunday on the massive package, which wraps much of Capitol Hill's unfinished 2020 business into a take-it-or-leave-it behemoth that promises to be a foot thick — or more.

The House passed the temporary funding bill by a 320-60 vote. The Senate approved it by voice vote almost immediately afterward, and President Donald Trump signed it late Friday.


Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., said both sides remain intent on closing the deal, even as Democrats launched a concerted campaign to block an effort by Republicans to rein in emergency Federal Reserve lending powers. The Democrats said the GOP proposal would deprive President-elect Joe Biden of crucial tools to manage the economy.

Negotiations continued into Friday night but an agreement wasn't likely before Saturday, lawmakers and aides said. House lawmakers were told they wouldn’t have to report to work on Saturday but that a Sunday session was likely. The Senate will be voting on nominations.

The $900 billion package comes as the pandemic is delivering its most fearsome surge yet, killing more than 3,000 victims per day and straining the nation's health care system. While vaccines are on the way, most people won't get them for months. Jobless claims are on the rise.


The emerging agreement would deliver more than $300 billion in aid to businesses and provide the jobless a $300-per-week bonus federal unemployment benefit and renewal of state benefits that would otherwise expire right after Christmas. It also includes $600 direct payments to individuals; vaccine distribution funds and money for renters, schools, the Postal Service and people needing food aid.

Democrats on Friday came out swinging at a key obstacle: a provision by conservative Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa., that would close down more than $400 billion in potential Federal Reserve lending powers established under a relief bill in March. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is shutting down the programs at the end of December, but Toomey's language goes further, by barring the Fed from restarting the lending next year, and Democrats say the provision would tie Biden's hands and put the economy at risk.

“As we navigate through an unprecedented economic crisis, it is in the interests of the American people to maintain the Fed’s ability to respond quickly and forcefully," said Biden economic adviser Brian Deese. “Undermining that authority could mean less lending to Main Street businesses, higher unemployment and greater economic pain across the nation."


The Fed programs at issue provided loans to small and mid-sized businesses and bought state and local government bonds, making it easier for those governments to borrow, at a time when their finances are under pressure from the pandemic.

The Fed would need the support of the Treasury Department to restart the programs, which Biden’s Treasury secretary nominee, Janet Yellen, a former Fed chair, would likely provide. Treasury could also provide funds to backstop those programs without congressional approval and could ease the lending requirements. That could encourage more lending under the programs, which have seen only limited use so far.

Friday opened on an optimistic note after the talks appeared stalled for much of Thursday.


The pending bill is the first significant legislative response to the pandemic since the landmark CARES Act passed virtually unanimously in March, delivering $1.8 trillion in aid, more generous $600 per week bonus jobless benefits and $1,200 direct payments to individuals.

The COVID-19 package would be added to a $1.4 trillion governmentwide appropriations bill that would fund federal agencies through next September. That measure is likely to provide a last $1.4 billion installment for Trump's U.S.-Mexico border wall as a condition of winning his signature.

For Republicans, the most important COVID-19 aid provision was a long-sought second round of “paycheck protection” payments to especially hard-hit businesses and renewal of soon-to-expire state jobless benefits for the long-term unemployed.


Democrats have been denied fiscal relief for states and local governments, a top priority, and they won a supplemental COVID-19 unemployment benefit that was only half the size of what the CARES Act delivered. Democrats also won $25 billion to help struggling renters with their payments and $45 billion for airlines and transit systems, but some critics on the left said Democratic negotiators were getting outmaneuvered.

Indeed, McConnell has been in the catbird's seat since Senate Republicans outperformed expectations in November while House Democrats barely held their majority. Preelection Democratic demands for a bill exceeding $2 trillion were quickly cut by more than half. Still, Biden is pressing for an agreement, fearing a weakening economy will await him on Inauguration Day.

Biden is promising another bill next year, but if Democrats lose Georgia Senate runoff elections next month and fail to win the Senate majority, they may have little leverage.


Most economists, including Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell, strongly support additional economic stimulus as necessary to keep businesses and households afloat through what is widely anticipated to be a tough winter. Many forecast the economy could shrink in the first three months of 2021 without more help. Standard & Poor’s said in a report Tuesday that the economy would be 1.5 percentage points smaller in 2021 without more aid.

__

AP Economics Writer Christopher Rugaber contributed.




Step One: Create Chaos and Resistance

Pentagon pauses transition meetings, causing concern for Biden's team as it meets 'resistance' in the department


Ryan Pickrell

Dec 18, 2020, 1:47 PM


The Pentagon. Charles Dharapak/AP


Acting Secretary of Defense Chris Miller ordered the Pentagon to cancel meetings with the Biden transition team, Axios reported Friday, adding that a Pentagon official said staff involved in the transition felt "overwhelmed."
A defense official said the Pentagon and the Biden transition team agreed to a break and that the canceled transition meetings were being rescheduled for after the holidays.
But the Biden transition team said it did not agree to any break, adding that it had encountered some "resistance" in the Pentagon and was "concerned" by the "abrupt halt" to transition meetings.

The Pentagon unexpectedly canceled meetings with President-elect Joe Biden's transition team, causing concern for the team.

Meetings originally scheduled for Friday were suddenly canceled, Axios first reported, writing that the order went out to the department Thursday night.

A defense official said the meetings were canceled because of competing priorities and were expected to be rescheduled for after a two-week hiatus agreed to by both sides. The official added that while some meetings were being canceled and rescheduled for later, other transition activities were continuing uninterrupted.

In a follow-on statement, acting Secretary of Defense Chris Miller said the Department of Defense "will continue with the transition and rescheduled meetings" after a "mutually-agreed upon holiday pause." He added that the Pentagon would fulfill its departmental transition obligations because "this is what our nation expects."


"The DoD will deliver AS IT ALWAYS HAS," he said.

A Biden transition spokesperson disputed the Pentagon's version of events at a press briefing Friday afternoon, saying the broader transition process had run into "isolated resistance," including from political appointees at the Department of Defense, and that the transition team was "concerned" by the "abrupt halt" to the transition meetings.

The Biden transition team also said there was never any mutual agreement to take a break from the transition process.

"We think it's important that briefings and other engagements continue during this period," Yohannes Abraham, a Biden transition spokesperson, said.


A senior Pentagon official told the Axios reporter Jonathan Swan that the acting defense secretary ordered the pause on transition meetings because some of the Pentagon staff involved felt "overwhelmed."

"We had fewer than two dozen remaining meetings on the schedule today and next week," a Pentagon official told Axios, adding that the Department of Defense was "taking a knee" for a couple of weeks rather than having those meetings but "still committed to a productive transition."

The Pentagon official said "the DoD staff working the meetings were overwhelmed by the number of meetings," adding that "these same senior leaders needed to do their day jobs and were being consumed by transition activities."

The Washington Post reporter Dan Lamothe reported there had sometimes been as many as 20 meetings per day, even as officials dealt with other demands, and that some people had raised concerns.


In a statement on the transition process, Miller said Friday that since November 23, the Department of Defense has conducted 139 interviews with 265 officials, responded to 161 requests for information, and provided 4,400 pages of controlled information and 900 pages of classified information in support.

And there is still work to be done.

The Trump administration delayed the start of the transition as the president disputed the results of the election, forcing officials in federal departments and agencies involved in the transition process to scramble to hold all of the necessary meetings before Biden takes office on January 20.

At the Pentagon, another challenge could be that some senior military leaders are new, including the acting defense secretary and the senior official tasked with leading the transition.


Shortly after the election, the Pentagon experienced a major upheaval as the secretary of defense and his chief of staff, as well as the top policy and intelligence officials, departed, leaving vacant posts for the Trump administration to fill with loyalists.

Talking to Insider about the newcomers, a former Pentagon official said last month that "the individuals being installed do not have the level of experience their predecessors did to assist with the transition."

The former official said the transition process could be "hampered because you will have new people that don't have that experience."



Update: This post has been updated with information from a defense official, the acting secretary of defense, and a Biden transition spokesperson.




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Ben Carson makes plans for his post-Trump life


Scoop: Ben Carson makes plans for his post-Trump life


Jonathan Swan




Ben Carson addresses last summer's Republican National Convention. Photo: Nicholas Kamm/AFP via Getty Images


Ben Carson, the secretary of Housing and Urban Development, has told confidants he wants to start a think tank after President Trump leaves office next month.

Why it matters: Carson's planning signals his private recognition of what many Trump loyalists won't say publicly: Donald Trump will not serve a second term — at least not consecutively. The secretary has not publicly acknowledged Joe Biden's election win but is preparing for a future outside the federal government.

Background: Carson, a neurosurgeon by trade who competed with Trump for the Republican Party's 2016 presidential nomination, wants to start an organization that will promote Trump's policies and foster bipartisan dialogue, a source in his inner circle told Axios.

It's unclear how any such group would be funded or mesh with any entity Trump launches in exile. The closest the source came to defining policy focuses was to say it would include "increasing self-sufficiency" and "promoting religious freedom."

Another focus: Carson wants to "heal the wounds of divisiveness," the source said.
It would be a very tall order indeed, as Trump's unstinting efforts to create and exacerbate such wounds show no sign of abating.

Just this week, the president retweeted a missive saying two Georgia Republican officials who acknowledged Biden's win will shortly be going to jail.

Be smart: As much as Carson may plan for his future or show fealty to Trump in the process, he can't forget the president lambasted Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell this week for saying publicly that Biden — not him — will be inaugurated as president next month.



Wednesday, December 16, 2020

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Unexpected Recompense





Unexpected Recompense, December 17

Whatsoever good thing any man doeth, the same shall he receive of the Lord. Ephesians 6:8. 

In this life our work for God often seems to be almost fruitless. Our efforts to do good may be earnest and persevering, yet we may not be permitted to witness their results. To us the effort may seem to be lost. But the Saviour assures us that our work is noted in heaven, and that the recompense cannot fail.42Testimonies for the Church 6:305. 

The poor widow who cast her two mites into the Lord's treasury little knew what she was doing. Her example of self-sacrifice has acted and reacted upon thousands of hearts in every land and in every age. It has brought to the treasury of God gifts from the high and the low, the rich and the poor. It has helped to sustain missions, to establish hospitals, to feed the hungry, clothe the naked, heal the sick, and preach the gospel to the poor. Multitudes have been blessed through her unselfish deed. And the outworking of all these lines of influence she, in the day of God, will be permitted to see. So with Mary's precious gift to the Saviour. How many have been inspired to loving service by the memory of that broken alabaster box! And how she will rejoice as she beholds all this! 43Testimonies for the Church 6:310. 

“Verily I say unto you,” Christ declared, “Wheresoever this gospel shall be preached throughout the whole world, this also that she hath done shall be spoken of for a memorial of her.” Looking into the future, the Saviour spoke with certainty concerning His gospel. It was to be preached throughout the world. And as far as the gospel extended, Mary's gift would shed its fragrance, and hearts would be blessed through her unstudied act. Kingdoms would rise and fall; the names of monarchs and conquerors would be forgotten; but this woman's deed would be immortalized upon the pages of sacred history. Until time should be no more, that broken alabaster box would tell the story of the abundant love of God for a fallen race.44The Desire of Ages, 563. 

Every impulse of the Holy Spirit leading men to goodness and to God is noted in the books of heaven, and in the day of God everyone who has given himself as an instrument for the Holy Spirit's working will be permitted to behold what his life has wrought.45Testimonies for the Church 6:310. 


Maranatha, p. 359.


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The Council for Inclusive Capitalism with the Vatican

Universal basic income could decimate cities next year, one bank says in its ‘outlandish forecasts’


PUBLISHED TUE, DEC 8 2020 8:38 AM EST
UPDATED TUE, DEC 8 2020 11:42 PM EST

Sam Meredith@SMEREDITH19


In a report entitled "Outrageous Predictions," Saxo Bank outlined 10 "outlandish forecasts" for 2021, although it did stress these are not its "official" views.

Among the predictions, the Danish bank said measures implemented by governments to support lost wages in response to the coronavirus pandemic could become permanent.

"UBI leads to a seismic rebalancing of the forces and structures within society, and how they apply geographically," strategist Kay Van-Petersen said in the report.





LONDON — Saxo Bank says universal basic income could become a permanent reality next year, triggering a "seismic rebalancing" of society as workers wave "bye-bye" to big city life.

In a report entitled "Outrageous Predictions," the Danish bank on Tuesday outlined 10 "outlandish forecasts" for 2021, although it did stress these are not its "official" views.

Among the predictions, the bank said that measures implemented by governments to support lost wages in response to the coronavirus pandemic could become permanent, and this new era of free money would crush commercial real estate.

"The risk that societies are entirely torn apart results in the realisation that the Covid-19 measures weren't a mere panic response, but the start of a permanent new universal basic income (UBI) reality," Saxo global macro strategist Kay Van-Petersen said in the report.

"UBI leads to a seismic rebalancing of the forces and structures within society, and how they apply geographically."

He said the Covid-19 pandemic has "only accelerated the K-shaped recovery that was driving inequality and tearing at the social fabric before the outbreak."

A K-shaped recovery refers to one in which the performance of the economy sharply diverges like the arms of the letter K, with some parts of the economy benefiting from strong growth while others lag.

Van-Petersen also said the younger generation had come to realize that "even a solid education and the right attitude" were not enough to move up the socio-economic ladder as was possible through most of the 20th century. And the growing wage deflationary forces of software, artificial intelligence and automation were "eroding a widening swath of jobs across industries."

Big city exodus

Universal basic income is not a new idea. But it has gained traction in the wake of the pandemic, with advocates of the policy suggesting it could help financially support those affected by the global health crisis and future-proof against any further society-wide event.

The IMF describes universal basic income as an income-support mechanism, in which regular cash payments are intended to reach a large portion of the population with minimal conditions.

In short, it would see everyone receive a flat rate payment on a regular basis, regardless of their employment status.



A couple wearing face masks to protect against the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19) sitting on a bench maintaining social distance in the Retiro Park in Madrid, Spain.
Marcos del Mazo | LightRocket | Getty Images


In April, as many countries moved to adopt lockdown measures to curb the spread of Covid-19, Pope Francis came out in support of such a move, saying: "This may be the time to consider a universal basic wage."

"Big cities have been the chief drivers of job growth for generations. But in the new era of UBI, tech-driven job redundancies, and frequent work from home jaunts made more normal by Covid-19, city office real estate is suddenly faced with 100% or worse overcapacity," Van-Petersen said.

"Commercial office property values are crushed, together with the commercial real estate containing restaurants and shops aimed at servicing commuting worker drones."

As a result, Saxo Bank said investors might consider adopting a short position in big city real estate investment trusts. It cited SL Realty Trust, saying it exclusively invests in New York office buildings, or Vornado Realty Trust, since it invests in Chicago, San Francisco and New York.

A short position refers to a trading technique in which a market participant sells a security on the assumption it will fall in the short term.

"The new UBI also drives changes in the attitude toward work and life balance, allowing many young people to stay in the communities where they grew up," Van-Petersen said.

"Meanwhile, the professionals and the marginal workers in big cities also begin to leave, as job opportunities dry up and the quality of life in small, over-priced apartments in higher crime neighborhoods loses its appeal."




Bill Gates Says Life Will Not Return To Normal Until 2022




Screenshot @tomselliott on Twitter)
JORDAN LANCASTERREPORTERDecember 14, 20209:35 AM ET


Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates said on CNN Sunday that life will not “fully” return to normal until 2022.

Gates told CNN’s Jake Tapper that “bars and restaurants in most of the country will be closed as we go into this wave, and I think, sadly, that’s appropriate.”

“Depending on how severe it is, the decision about schools is much more complicated because the benefits are pretty high, the amount of transmission is not the same as in restaurants and bars,” Gates added. “So trade-offs will have to be made.” (RELATED: Bill Gates Says Presidential Transition Is ‘Complicating’ Vaccine Distribution)

“The next four to six months really call on us to do our best, because we can see that this will end, and you don’t want somebody that you love to be the last to die of coronavirus.”

Tapper asked Gates when he thought life would be “fully” back to normal, with no masks, social distancing, or protective measures.

“Certainly by the summer, we’ll be way closer to normal than we are now,” Gates responded. “But even through early 2022, unless we help other countries get rid of this disease, and we get high vaccination rates in our country, the risk of re-introduction will be there, and of course the global economy will be slowed down which hurts America economically in a pretty dramatic way.”

He said things like big public gatherings will still be prohibited during the Summer. “But we can see now that somewhere between 12 and 18 months, and we have a chance, if we manage it well, to get back to normal,” Gates added.

A spike in new coronavirus cases has led many states to issue now lockdown orders, including closing bars and restaurants and implementing mask mandates. Many schools continue to operate virtually. Military trucks will begin delivering the first shipments of Pfizer’s recently approved coronavirus vaccine to states Monday, boosting hopes that life could return to normal sooner rather than later.


JORDAN LANCASTER