Saturday, December 05, 2009

Sociologist: 2012 inflates apocalypse bubble


by Jennifer Garza - Nov. 24, 2009 01:09 PM
McClatchy Newspapers


SACRAMENTO, Calif. - Dene McGriff wants to make sense out of the last days - the end of times. He has turned to the Bible. Others have turned to ancient calendars, prophecies and even movies.

All see the same message: The end is near.

McGriff, a retired Carmichael, Calif., businessman, runs a Web site called Tribulation Network, which is devoted to Bible prophecies about the end of the world as we know it.

"People are looking for answers; there's a lot of anxiety right now," said McGriff, 67.

They have browsed for answers in an array of books on the subject, with titles such as "The Mystery of 2012," "Time Storm 2012" and "2012: The War for Souls." They have watched for them in the movie "2012," which opened this month and earned more than $200 million worldwide in its first week. And they have perused the proliferation of Web sites like McGriff's.

There's more to come. "The Road," based on the Pulitzer Prize-winning novel by Cormac McCarthy about a post-apocalyptic world, opens Wednesday.

"We're in an apocalypse bubble, in the same way that there was a real estate bubble and a dot-com bubble," said John Hall, a sociologist at the University of California, Davis.

Hall has studied apocalyptic movements since the 1970s and is the author of "Apocalypse: From Antiquity to the Empire of Modernity." He does not believe the end is near, echoing the sentiments of other observers who either dismiss the interpretations or debunk them as scientifically unsound.

"But I think all this reflects fears people have," he said. "They are nervous about what's going on in the world."

Global warming. Pandemics and health scares. War in the Middle East. End-timers like McGriff say these are signs that we are living in the last days. "Look at the Bible," he said. "It's predicted."

On his site, http://www.the-tribulation-network.com/, he examines a recent announcement from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that the recession is over and concludes that "the current world economic system ... (opens) the way for something far more sinister as we see in the prophetic Scriptures."

The end of the world has come and gone before. Believers have parsed the messages from Nostradamus to the Bible Code, have circled dates on their doomsday calendars, and they are still here to mark another.

"Nobody wants the world to end, but everyone wants to know when it's going to happen," said Phil Hotsenpiller, the pastor of Yorba Linda Friends Church, a Southern California megachurch.

Hotsenpiller is the author of "Armageddon Now," a series of seven graphic novels showing how the biblical prophecies play out. He also hosts an annual prophecy conference.

He believes these are the last days. He would not predict the date. The only prediction he would make was that the end of times would "be good for Hollywood and they'll probably make a lot of money."

Many credit, or blame, the current end-of-the-world interest in the examination of one ancient Mayan calendar - and there are three - that some have interpreted to say that the world will end on Dec. 21, 2012.

On that date, the Mayan "long count" calendar marks the end of a 5,126-year era. The day is also the winter solstice. The Mayan calendar is so well known that it has spurred its own cottage industry.

"There is also an incredible alignment of the stars on that day," said Colin Andrews, who has written about end-times prophecies in "The Complete Idiot's Guide to 2012." "I do think we are entering another cycle, that we are going to have a major realignment of some sort."

NASA, in response to 2012 inquiries, has posted answers to frequently asked questions debunking the 2012 predictions on its Web site, nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/2012.html.

"Nothing bad will happen to the Earth in 2012," the site says. "Our planet has been getting along just fine for more than 4 billion years, and credible scientists worldwide know of no threat associated with 2012."

Mayan scholars have also said the ancient civilization did not predict the end of the world.

Instead, they said that date symbolizes an end of an important era and would be a reason to celebrate.

"It's much like the way we celebrated the end of a century," said Sandra Noble, executive director of the Foundation for the Advancement of Mesoamerican Studies in Crystal River, Fla. "To say that it's an end of the world is simply not true."

Some have compared the 2012 hype to the Y2K scenarios a decade ago. "When nothing happened, they found another date," said Hotsenpiller.

The movie "2012" now helps generate the hype. The film starring John Cusack retells the biblical story of the great flood. There's a worldwide catastrophe, a prophet in the wilderness, arks and a boy named Noah.

Religious beliefs drive some of the interest in the end-of-the-world scenarios. But Christians do not believe the world will end in 2012. "The Bible said we will not know the date," Hotsenpiller said.

But, McGriff said, the Scriptures do emphasize the end. "The apocalypse is about one-quarter of the Bible," he said.

McGriff said he has been writing about the Bible's message of the upcoming apocalypse for 15 years. "If we're living in the last days," he said "don't you think it's in our benefit to find out what's going to happen?"

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